Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.064891 4.693867 5.388086 6.211235 7.160867 8.222365 9.499493
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.122798 3.920357 4.876074 6.106113 7.648389 9.519930 11.966606
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.438825 3.292267 4.390645 5.908816 7.955463 10.623194 14.372685
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.059148 2.966445 4.211228 6.045399 8.684148 12.351634 17.852915
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.697012 2.592573 3.894274 5.926510 9.027290 13.594583 20.861702
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.536008 2.476127 3.916721 6.288183 10.106908 16.039213 26.003153
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.374989 2.328775 3.863034 6.514885 11.002290 18.323528 31.249329
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.204803 2.135951 3.702628 6.535609 11.554977 20.124609 35.971085
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.008683 1.865858 3.369584 6.205420 11.449404 20.789133 38.820575
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.934904 1.800268 3.379513 6.478602 12.446188 23.508758 45.757189
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.895496 1.791256 3.488281 6.946440 13.866051 27.189766 55.045393
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.825699 1.712144 3.451981 7.126146 14.750015 29.966908 62.971354
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.744556 1.601822 3.346439 7.167871 15.398175 32.441924 70.828916
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.647143 1.442592 3.118938 6.922672 15.414680 33.637052 76.201040
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.559754 1.291084 2.884866 6.625959 15.271725 34.469308 80.910439
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.515483 1.229073 2.835739 6.733566 16.049602 37.435561 90.967213
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.457788 1.126849 2.681196 6.573601 16.182371 38.957754 97.871269
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.441629 1.121493 2.750093 6.957038 17.676295 43.892797 113.926176
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.417739 1.093238 2.759976 7.196529 18.851948 48.234764 129.208589
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.384027 1.034623 2.686409 7.212346 19.459043 51.249018 141.532525
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.335359 0.929086 2.478440 6.843643 18.995935 51.441607 146.296067
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.322392 0.918173 2.515683 7.142400 20.390260 56.760874 166.186025
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.318882 0.933072 2.624320 7.656663 22.468784 64.260236 193.584075